The Pulse for 2008
Tuesday, January 29th, 2008
RV Trade Digest ran two news stories during the last seven days about manufacturers laying off employees. I suspect that these are merely the first of many manufacturers that will have to readjust their labor force in coming months.
I applaud Winnebago and Monaco for being the first to make this difficult decision, knowing that it will most likely protect the future health of their companies. For obvious reasons it is always hard to make those kinds of decisions. That said, I must add that I truly sympathize with the men and women, as well as their families, who have lost jobs.
RVIA reports that 2007’s total new unit RV shipments were 9.5 percent under 2006’s banner year numbers. Based on predictions of manufacturer’s 2008 new unit shipments, this year will be a little slower than last year.
While press releases on RV manufacturer’s staff reductions reach my computer, I have to wonder how hard RV dealerships, suppliers and aftermarket manufacturers are being hit. They are the front line when it comes to consumer confidence and purchases. Are these companies also finding it hard to keep employees busy?
While attending the Stag Parkway show, it seemed that overall, dealer attendance was down this year –– some exhibitors estimated by as much as 10 percent. But some exhibitors I spoke with also told me that their overall show orders were up this year.
I suspect this means many smaller dealerships didn’t see the need to incur the expense of attending. Larger dealerships with high-end aftermarket retail facilities not only attended but felt that the coming year would see increased parts and accessory sales. It will be interesting to see if the attendance and buying patterns at other distributor’s shows in coming weeks mirror Stag Parkway.
Also on the bright side, with fewer new units hitting the road, this can only mean positive things for service and the aftermarket departments at a dealership. Qualified service technicians have been in short supply for as long as I can remember. Wouldn’t the men and women displaced by manufacturer and supplier lay-offs be good candidates as service technicians? I would think that if an employee can build a travel trailer, or RV furnace, they would already have at the very least a rudimentary understanding of how to troubleshoot and repair units in a dealer’s service bay.
I’d love to hear dealers’ predictions on what kind of year they expect 2008 to be, if they have made staff reductions or if they have considered what benchmarks would make those reductions necessary. Will service and the aftermarket be a bigger priority this year with present market conditions? What can dealers do to seize opportunities in this business environment? As usual, your thoughts are welcome.
