What will Buffett Munch on Next?
Monday, October 30th, 2006Apparently, the RV industry has been all a twitter in the past few weeks with speculation that financial tycoon Warren Buffett has his eyes on buying an additional RV manufacturer for his portfolio. Worth an estimated $46 billion, he could gobble up on the entire $12 billion RV industry and still have money left for a weekend in Vegas. But industry speculation seems to be focused on three companies. Gulf Stream is on top of the list for many people — except the Gulf Stream staff. With Buffett already heavily invested in the manufactured housing industry, he’d have a natural connection to both industries through Gulf Stream’s Fairmont Homes division. Gulf Stream is a solid company with innovative product lines that cross multiple markets. And, as a family-owned business, they could be evaluated under the public scrutiny of stockholders and other investors. Coachmen has also been mentioned as a possible item on Warren’s buffet. A full-line manufacturer, Coachmen has been struggling lately for some reason to the point that CEO Claire Skinner abruptly announced her resignation this summer. Coachmen would fit the Buffett’s investment strategies nicely.
According to the online encyclopedia Wikipedia, Buffett looks for companies that:
- Are undervalued but possess a margin of safety that meets expected return-to-risk characteristics. Coachmen has been flying under the radar, but still offers a promising product line.
- Where company events are not related to market changes like mergers, acquisitions and liquidations. In the past year or so, Coachmen has become lean and mean, shedding off other companies that don’t contribute to its core production.
So Coachmen would be a nice fit, as would Fleetwood. Another struggling company over the years, Fleetwood has sound fundamentals once again, but is lead by a president called out of retirement. While Buffet prides himself on not interfering with the companies he controls, he does insist on having sole decision-making authority over the top executive and the CEO’s compensation. Buying Fleetwood would another good fit for Buffet who could install his own minion to oversee day-to-day operations and motivate a highly-talented existing group of managers to reach new heights. Perhaps the coup d’etat for Buffet would be the purchase of Thor. Buying the industry’s largest “manufacturer” (Thor actually owns manufacturing companies) would be a spectacular way for Buffett to say “Hello, let’s play” and raise the stakes to the rest of the industry. The acquisition would give him a sizeable foundation upon which to swing the entire industry — and the purchase would be immense enough to send shockwaves through Wall Street, thus attracting even more capital to the industry.
Unlike my Friday the 13th Doomsday scenario, this Halloween idea may pack far more treat than trick for the RV industry. What do you think? ____________________
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